Modeling is helpful to understand integrated
pest management (IPM) systems and to develop and test new methods of control.
Modeling is also useful in predicting pest outbreaks, although the high
number of variables makes this risky and difficult to achieve. Many aspects
of the biology and ecological interactions can be understood better through
the use of models which can be verbally, visually, or computer generated.
Dispersal is the process whereby a cohort of individuals moves from an
origin (e.g., birth place) to a new site for improving the quality of
their food and habitat. For example, aphids may develop on a plant that
is maturing and its leaves are drying out due to age and insect feeding
damage. There comes a point in time when it is more advantageous for the
aphids to undertake a dispersal flight to find a new food plant even though
there are considerable risks in searching for a new place because of increased
exposure to predators and heat/water stresses, among other dangers. Similarly,
many insects must find a new food source, or a mate during their life
cycle. An understanding of the dispersal phases, i.e. how far, how often,
and risks involved, is crucial to constructing better IPM systems. The
use of models is practically unlimited and they can be made continually
more useful both through better algorithms and by faster computers.
Simulation of Dispersal
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Java applet of Dispersal
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Model of Avoiding Objects
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Java applet of Avoidance
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Dispersal through trap rings
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Java applet of trap rings
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Software downloads
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Questions concerning these program areas can be directed to: john.byers@ars.usda.gov
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